Foresight No. 5: The Execution Gap, France’s Governance Deficit (full note, PDF)

The full 29-page prospective note: why France has a strategic governance deficit, what four decades of drift have cost, and the evidence-based case for a president who has run large organisations for results. Instant PDF download.

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$29.00

About the author

Foresight, prospective note No. 5. Driss EFFINA, PhD. October 2026. PDF, 29 pages, 15 charts and diagrams, 9 tables.

France does not lack diagnoses. It lacks execution. Since 2005 it has not run a single primary budget surplus, and the IMF does not project one before 2031.

Inside the full note:

  • Forty years of drift: the diagnosis
  • A crisis of execution: the political record since 2017
  • Measuring the strategic governance gap
  • Promise and delivery
  • The cost of drift
  • Who governs France, and why the profile matters
  • What a business-built president would change
  • The strongest objections, answered
  • A 100-day and five-year programme sketch
  • Scenarios to 2032
  • A dashboard of leading indicators
  • Implications for policy, investors and businesses
  • What to watch

Read the free preview: The Execution Gap.

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